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FIRE SEASON UPDATE - JUNE 2026
Friday, 12th June 2026
AFAC’s Seasonal Outlook
The Seasonal Bushfire Outlook for winter 2026 highlights increased fire risk across central and northern NSW. Above normal fire potential is expected in drought-affected areas of central and northern NSW later in winter, driven by unusually hot and dry autumn conditions that have expanded drought across much of the state.
“Communities are encouraged to be vigilant, even in areas of Australia that show a normal risk of fire this season. A dry winter could signal an early start to the bushfire period so stay connected to advice from your local fire services” advises AFAC CEO Rob Webb.
Learn more here: Seasonal Bushfire Outlook Winter 2026 - https://www.afac.com.au/public-resources/seasonal-bushfire-outlook-winter-2026
Long-range Bureau of Meteorology (BOM)
Issued: 11 June 2026
The long-range forecast for July to September shows:
El Niño is underway in the tropical Pacific. Forecasts are pointing towards a strong to very strong El Niño event, based on the extent of warming in the central tropical Pacific. A strong El Niño signal does not necessarily mean strong impacts on Australia's climate; ENSO is only one of many factors that can influence Australia’s seasonal weather and climate. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) has brought moisture resulting in widespread rains across southern Australia but is expected to weaken mid-winter.
Learn more here: Long range BOM forecast - https://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/overview/summary/
BIRD FLU ALERT:
H5N1 Bird Flu is now present on the coast of Western Australia and South Australia. It is now likely a matter of time before it is present in NSW. Worldwide it has caused mass mortality events for birds and mammals. Do not attempt to pick up sick birds and report via the 24-hour Emergency Animal Disease (EAD) Hotline on 1800 675 888.