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Fire Season Update 2020-21

Friday, 5th March 2021

Fire Season Update 2020-21

Mild winter conditions, low stocking rates as a result of the drought and good rainfall across parts of NSW has seen prolific grass growth in areas across large parts of NSW west of the Great Dividing Range. Above average rainfall will likely continue in autumn and warmer than average minimum temperatures may extend the growing period. Although fire potential is mapped as normal across NSW, high grass fuels could pose a risk depending on local conditions. If fires do occur in dry grass with high fuel loads, they will be high intensity and fast moving. Fuel loads and fire danger continues to be monitored closely.

Need help identifying and managing risks associated with grass and crop fires? The RFS Bush Fire Bulletin recently published a lift-out that provide a handy grass curing guide to measure risk of grass fires, and a simple grain harvesting guide for farmers to assess fire risk in local conditions. Download the Grass Curing and Grain Harvesting Guide: https://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/185307/Bulletin-liftout-Grass-and-Grain.pdf

Despite the fire damage to large parts of the east coast from bushfires last season, normal fire potential persists along the east coast in areas not affected due to the long-term soil dryness. For more information refer to the Australian Seasonal Bushfire Outlook: https://www.bnhcrc.com.au/hazardnotes/91

Outlook

Australia’s climate continues to be influenced by La Nina, which is increasing the likelihood of above-average rainfall across eastern and northern Australia. The current climate outlook from the Bureau of Meteorology ( http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/overview/summary), issued on 25 February, indicates this event is past its peak strength. However, it is expected that rainfall will remain above average throughout autumn. Maximum temperatures are likely to be cooler than average across NSW, while autumn minimum temperatures will remain higher than average.

For more information on the weather outlook across NSW visit http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/overview/summary

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